Sunday, February 13, 2011

Cambob Predicts the Grammys

We're only about three measly hours from Grammy night. The Grammys are great because musicians are crazier than TV and movie people. If there's going to be an award show where someone gets played off the stage during their acceptance speech, not because it's too long but all the people they thank have nicknames that are considered profanity, it's the Grammys. Even though there's something like 120 categories, some in music genres that nobody but the artists in that genre, even know exist. Best Zydeco or Cajun Alubm? I'm pretty sure the cast of Princess and the Frog won that last year. The other thing special about the Grammys, it's more of a concert than an award show. Some of the best televised music performances of all time happen on the telecast and some of the weirdest combos of musicians perform together. Eminem and Elton John. Paul McCartney with Jay-Z and Linkin Park. As weird as it probably gets this year is Cee-Lo Green and Gwenyth Paltrow but there's usually surprises. Here are some of my predictions for tonight

Rock Album: Muse

Rap: Eminem will sweep all five categories unless Jay-Z sneaks a win for Empire State of Mind of Rap Song.

Best New Artist: The lines have been drawn and this is a Bieber/Drake showdown. Luckily, I'm pretty sure nobody under 15 can vote in the Grammys, so my money's on Drake.

Song of the Year: The big three are hard to pick. My gut goes with Lady Antebellum for Need You Now. How awesome would it be though to hear, "The Song of the Year is...Fuck You!

Record of the Year: Love the Way You Lie- Eminem

Album of the Year: Anything can happen, but the Mr. Mathers is the favorite. If Em can sweep the Rap categories like I think he will and the big three categories like I think he can he will tie the Grammy record for most awards in one night- 8, which only Michael Jackson and Carlos Santana have done.

Eminem is a general favorite but Lady Gaga could sneak up, Lady Antebellum's a boomer and especially in Best Album sometimes someone will rise from obscurity, like Herbie Hancock did a few years ago, so maybe The Roots and John Legend could do it. Having said I want to bookend saying, Marshall Mathers is the man to beat.

Rule: If an Album is nominated for Best Album it will win best (whatever genre album). For example Lady Antebellum is nominated for Best Album so they won't lose Best Country Album. That would be madness.

Enjoy the show, and if you watch the Grammys and get too worked up about the actual awards, you need to reexamine your life.

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